NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU UTA
Points 122.2 117.4
Total Points   239.6
Points From 2-Pointers 59.7 57.7
Points From 3-Pointers 43.6 36.9
Points From Free Throws 19.0 22.8
Shooting HOU UTA
Field Goals Made 44.4 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 93.4 88.0
Field Goal % 47.5% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.5 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 37.7 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 19.0 22.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 27.2
Free Throw % 77.2% 83.8%
Ball Control HOU UTA
Rebounds 48.6 51.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.2 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 13.5
Turnovers 10.3 13.7
Blocked Shots 5.8 5.8
Steals 7.8 5.6
Fouls 19.3 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU UTA
Total Possessions 104.2
Effective Scoring Chances 107.2 104.0
% of Possessions with HOU UTA
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 30.4%
Player Fouled 16.9% 18.5%
Turnover 9.8% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU UTA
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 27.6%