NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU UTA
Points 122.3 117.5
Total Points   239.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.3 58.5
Points From 3-Pointers 44.4 36.5
Points From Free Throws 18.7 22.6
Shooting HOU UTA
Field Goals Made 44.4 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 93.9 87.5
Field Goal % 47.3% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 54.9 51.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.8 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 39.0 35.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 18.7 22.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 26.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 83.7%
Ball Control HOU UTA
Rebounds 48.2 51.7
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 38.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 13.5
Turnovers 10.1 14.0
Blocked Shots 6.0 5.8
Steals 7.9 5.5
Fouls 18.7 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU UTA
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 107.6 103.3
% of Possessions with HOU UTA
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 30.0%
Player Fouled 16.7% 18.0%
Turnover 9.7% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU UTA
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 28.3%