NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU SAC
Points 113.8 117.0
Total Points   230.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.3 58.0
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 40.5
Points From Free Throws 19.9 18.5
Shooting HOU SAC
Field Goals Made 40.5 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 88.0 89.2
Field Goal % 46.0% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 29.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.0 50.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.0 38.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 19.9 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 24.8
Free Throw % 76.8% 74.6%
Ball Control HOU SAC
Rebounds 48.9 51.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 12.7
Turnovers 11.8 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.8
Steals 6.9 6.9
Fouls 18.4 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU SAC
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 104.2
% of Possessions with HOU SAC
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 32.9%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.8%
Turnover 11.4% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU SAC
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 25.4%