NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU SAC
Points 113.5 117.0
Total Points   230.4
Points From 2-Pointers 54.7 57.8
Points From 3-Pointers 38.8 40.6
Points From Free Throws 20.0 18.5
Shooting HOU SAC
Field Goals Made 40.3 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 89.2
Field Goal % 45.8% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 52.7 50.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 38.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 20.0 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.1 24.7
Free Throw % 76.8% 74.7%
Ball Control HOU SAC
Rebounds 48.9 51.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 12.7
Turnovers 11.7 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.8
Steals 6.8 6.9
Fouls 18.4 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU SAC
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 104.1
% of Possessions with HOU SAC
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 32.9%
Player Fouled 18.6% 17.8%
Turnover 11.3% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU SAC
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 25.2%