NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU ORL
Points 108.5 110.6
Total Points   219.1
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 57.2
Points From 3-Pointers 33.1 31.7
Points From Free Throws 19.6 21.7
Shooting HOU ORL
Field Goals Made 38.9 39.2
Field Goals Attempted 85.5 82.9
Field Goal % 45.5% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 53.1 51.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 31.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 19.6 21.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 29.1
Free Throw % 77.2% 74.6%
Ball Control HOU ORL
Rebounds 46.8 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 12.3
Turnovers 12.9 13.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.4
Steals 7.7 7.3
Fouls 21.0 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU ORL
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 100.4
% of Possessions with HOU ORL
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 27.2%
Player Fouled 19.1% 20.6%
Turnover 12.7% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU ORL
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 25.7%