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Houston at Dallas
Tue Oct 26, 2021
8:30pm ET
Dallas, TX
Houston at Dallas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Dallas by 11, Total Points: 222.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 45-35-2 | 49-35-0 | |
| vs Division | 7-8-1 | 10-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 30-20-2 | 33-21-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 27-13-1 | 21-20-0 | |
| Away | 18-22-1 | 28-15-0 |
Houston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Orlando | +4.5 | L by 30 | -25.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | San Antonio | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 10/29 | Home | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Charlotte | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 18 | +20.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | Sacramento | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | LA Lakers | +2.0 | W by 34 | +36.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Denver | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | LA Clippers | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | LA Lakers | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Memphis | -5.0 | W by 20 | +15.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Denver | +3.0 | W by 19 | +22.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Denver | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Okla City | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Denver | +9.0 | W by 8 | +17.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | San Antonio | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Memphis | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 12/15 | Away | Memphis | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 12/18 | Away | Cleveland | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Atlanta | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Dallas | -8.5 | W by 26 | +17.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New Orleans | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Indiana | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Phoenix | +3.0 | L by 16 | -13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Philadelphia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Minnesota | +4.0 | L by 27 | -23.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Chicago | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Boston | +15.0 | L by 32 | -17.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Philadelphia | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | New York | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Utah | -2.0 | W by 1 | -1.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Boston | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Portland | -10.0 | L by 6 | -16.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 34 | +29.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Brooklyn | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | LA Lakers | +1.0 | W by 16 | +17.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | New Orleans | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Indiana | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Toronto | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Atlanta | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | New York | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Memphis | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | New Orleans | +6.5 | L by 22 | -15.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Okla City | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Okla City | +10.0 | L by 17 | -7.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Phoenix | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Phoenix | +9.0 | W by 9 | +18.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | San Antonio | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LA Clippers | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Sacramento | +6.5 | W by 8 | +14.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | San Antonio | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 03/16 | Home | Cleveland | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Washington | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Chicago | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | Utah | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 03/27 | Away | Okla City | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Utah | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Golden State | +3.0 | L by 23 | -20.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Miami | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Dallas | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Orlando | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 04/11 | Away | Utah | -11.0 | L by 3 | -14.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Portland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
Dallas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | San Antonio | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 10/30 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 15 | +16.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | Denver | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 11/05 | Home | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 6 | -5.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 15 | +14.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 11 | -15.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | LA Clippers | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | New Orleans | -3.5 | L by 21 | -24.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Washington | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Milwaukee | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Sacramento | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 19 | -17.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Memphis | -5.5 | L by 14 | -19.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Okla City | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Utah | -11.5 | W by 50 | +38.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | LA Lakers | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Portland | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Denver | +8.0 | L by 26 | -18.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 9 | -7.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Houston | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Cleveland | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Minnesota | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Golden State | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | Utah | -4.5 | L by 37 | -41.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Portland | -10.5 | W by 29 | +18.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Portland | -7.0 | W by 36 | +29.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Memphis | -9.5 | L by 17 | -26.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | New York | +4.5 | W by 4 | +8.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | New Orleans | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.0 | L by 17 | -14.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Boston | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 23 | -20.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Atlanta | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Sacramento | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Orlando | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Minnesota | +13.0 | L by 34 | -21.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.0 | W by 16 | +13.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | New York | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | W by 35 | +36.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Washington | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Indiana | -2.0 | L by 22 | -24.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Cleveland | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 11 | +7.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 28 | -19.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.5 | L by 4 | -11.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 18 | +9.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 35 | +31.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Golden State | -8.5 | W by 10 | +1.5 |
| 03/14 | Away | Okla City | +9.5 | L by 7 | +2.5 |
| 03/17 | Home | Denver | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | San Antonio | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Utah | -14.0 | W by 16 | +2.0 |
| 03/25 | Away | Utah | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 03/26 | Away | Sacramento | +1.0 | W by 36 | +37.0 |
| 03/29 | Away | Sacramento | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Golden State | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 04/04 | Home | Atlanta | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Golden State | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Charlotte | -12.5 | W by 26 | +13.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | Miami | -2.5 | W by 19 | +16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | L by 18 | -29.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Okla City | +19.5 | L by 49 | -29.5 |
| 04/21 | Away | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 04/23 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| DAL -11.0 | Open | -11.5 | High | -11.5 |
| Last | -10.5 | Low | -10.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 482 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10 to 12 points. In these games:
- The team like Dallas won the game 398 times (82.6%).
- The team like Houston won the game 84 times (17.4%).
- The team like Houston did better against the spread, going 256-213-13 (54.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season there have been 1064 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Dallas did better against the spread, going 545-498-21 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -11.0 | -11.0 |
| Open | -11.0 | -11.0 | -11.0 |
| History | |||
| 10/26 08:24 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 10/26 08:16 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 08:15 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 10/26 08:04 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 07:22 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 06:56 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 06:04 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 04:49 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 04:44 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/26 04:04 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 02:28 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 01:34 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 11:31 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 10:34 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/26 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 10/26 10:16 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 10:04 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 10/26 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 10/26 09:28 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 10/26 09:10 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 08:49 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 07:10 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 05:28 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 04:01 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 11:15 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 10/25 03:54 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 10/25 03:43 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
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