NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU BK
Points 113.6 110.8
Total Points   224.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 54.0
Points From 3-Pointers 38.7 37.5
Points From Free Throws 18.2 19.3
Shooting HOU BK
Field Goals Made 41.3 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 90.8 87.6
Field Goal % 45.4% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.5 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 36.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 18.2 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 25.4
Free Throw % 76.8% 76.0%
Ball Control HOU BK
Rebounds 51.5 51.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 38.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 13.0
Turnovers 10.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.5
Steals 6.4 6.0
Fouls 18.4 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU BK
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 104.4 102.7
% of Possessions with HOU BK
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 31.5%
Player Fouled 17.3% 18.1%
Turnover 10.5% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU BK
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 25.4%