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Houston at Golden State
Thu Feb 20, 2020
10:30pm ET
San Francisco, CA
Houston at Golden State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Houston by 10, Total Points: 233
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | GS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 45-35-2 | 43-39-1 | |
| vs Division | 7-8-1 | 8-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 30-20-2 | 23-29-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 27-13-1 | 16-24-1 | |
| Away | 18-22-1 | 27-15-0 |
Houston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Orlando | +4.5 | L by 30 | -25.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | San Antonio | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 10/29 | Home | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Charlotte | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 18 | +20.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | Sacramento | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | LA Lakers | +2.0 | W by 34 | +36.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Denver | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | LA Clippers | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | LA Lakers | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Memphis | -5.0 | W by 20 | +15.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Denver | +3.0 | W by 19 | +22.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Denver | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Okla City | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Denver | +9.0 | W by 8 | +17.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | San Antonio | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Memphis | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 12/15 | Away | Memphis | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 12/18 | Away | Cleveland | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Atlanta | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Dallas | -8.5 | W by 26 | +17.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New Orleans | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Indiana | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Phoenix | +3.0 | L by 16 | -13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Philadelphia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Minnesota | +4.0 | L by 27 | -23.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Chicago | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Boston | +15.0 | L by 32 | -17.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Philadelphia | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | New York | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Utah | -2.0 | W by 1 | -1.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Boston | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Portland | -10.0 | L by 6 | -16.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 34 | +29.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Brooklyn | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | LA Lakers | +1.0 | W by 16 | +17.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | New Orleans | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Indiana | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Toronto | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Atlanta | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | New York | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Memphis | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | New Orleans | +6.5 | L by 22 | -15.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Okla City | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Okla City | +10.0 | L by 17 | -7.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Phoenix | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Phoenix | +9.0 | W by 9 | +18.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | San Antonio | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LA Clippers | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Sacramento | +6.5 | W by 8 | +14.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | San Antonio | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 03/16 | Home | Cleveland | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Washington | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Chicago | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | Utah | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 03/27 | Away | Okla City | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Utah | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Golden State | +3.0 | L by 23 | -20.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Miami | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Dallas | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Orlando | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 04/11 | Away | Utah | -11.0 | L by 3 | -14.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Portland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
Golden State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Home | Phoenix | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Houston | -7.0 | W by 11 | +4.0 |
| 10/30 | Away | New Orleans | +3.0 | W by 28 | +31.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Sacramento | -7.0 | W by 1 | -6.0 |
| 11/03 | Away | Okla City | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 11/05 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 11 | -10.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Cleveland | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Minnesota | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Okla City | +3.0 | L by 19 | -16.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/20 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | San Antonio | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Sacramento | +1.5 | L by 1 | +0.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | LA Clippers | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Portland | -12.5 | W by 4 | -8.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Okla City | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Phoenix | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 12/14 | Away | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Portland | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Boston | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Portland | -8.0 | W by 20 | +12.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Miami | -6.5 | L by 12 | -18.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Dallas | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Denver | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Detroit | -10.5 | W by 4 | -6.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Toronto | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | New Orleans | +2.5 | L by 36 | -33.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Chicago | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Memphis | -7.5 | L by 9 | -16.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | Sacramento | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 02/02 | Away | Memphis | -7.5 | W by 20 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Atlanta | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 11 | +10.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.0 | W by 23 | +20.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Indiana | +5.5 | W by 22 | +27.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Phoenix | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Utah | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Utah | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Charlotte | -12.5 | W by 13 | +0.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Denver | -2.0 | L by 16 | -18.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | New York | -3.5 | W by 11 | +7.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Toronto | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Boston | +8.0 | L by 52 | -44.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Milwaukee | -2.5 | W by 35 | +32.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | San Antonio | -12.5 | L by 13 | -25.5 |
| 03/11 | Away | San Antonio | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Dallas | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | LA Lakers | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | New York | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Memphis | -11.0 | W by 21 | +10.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 03/26 | Away | Miami | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Orlando | +4.0 | W by 8 | +12.0 |
| 03/29 | Away | Charlotte | -12.5 | W by 18 | +5.5 |
| 03/31 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 4 | -6.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Dallas | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 04/04 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 23 | +20.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Dallas | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Utah | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 04/11 | Away | Portland | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | New Orleans | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 04/16 | Away | Sacramento | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| HOU -10.0 | Open | -9.0 | High | -10.0 |
| Last | -9.5 | Low | -9.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 278 games where the closing line favored the away team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Houston won the game 228 times (82.0%).
- The team like Golden State won the game 50 times (18.0%).
- The team like Houston did better against the spread, going 146-130-2 (52.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 1480 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Golden State did better against the spread, going 734-720-26 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.5 | -10.0 |
| Open | -9.5 | -9.5 | -10.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/20 10:34 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 10:29 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 10:17 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 09:59 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 09:37 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 09:24 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 08:37 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 06:04 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 04:14 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 02/20 03:53 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 03:41 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 03:31 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 03:26 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 03:24 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 02/20 03:06 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 02:46 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 02:08 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 01:41 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 10:45 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 10:27 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 09:12 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 08:24 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 02/20 07:36 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 07:18 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 09:35 PM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 02/19 02:53 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 02/19 02:43 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 02:34 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/19 12:34 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 02/19 12:27 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
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