NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA PHI
Points 110.4 113.5
Total Points   223.9
Points From 2-Pointers 57.4 60.6
Points From 3-Pointers 35.8 35.0
Points From Free Throws 17.2 17.9
Shooting SA PHI
Field Goals Made 40.6 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 92.6
Field Goal % 46.2% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 30.3
2 Pointers Attempted 53.4 60.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 32.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 17.2 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 21.8
Free Throw % 77.6% 81.9%
Ball Control SA PHI
Rebounds 52.0 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 39.3 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 12.5
Turnovers 14.2 10.6
Blocked Shots 7.3 5.7
Steals 5.4 8.6
Fouls 14.9 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA PHI
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.9 104.2
% of Possessions with SA PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 51.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 27.3%
Player Fouled 17.0% 14.6%
Turnover 13.9% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA PHI
Shot Blocked 6.3% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 24.1%