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San Antonio at Milwaukee
Wed Mar 22, 2023
8:00pm ET
Milwaukee, WI
San Antonio at Milwaukee: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Milwaukee by 19, Total Points: 237.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SA | adv | MIL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 44-38-0 | 36-47-1 | |
| vs Division | 7-9-0 | 6-13-0 | |
| vs Conference | 29-22-0 | 26-27-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 22-19-0 | 20-22-1 | |
| Away | 22-19-0 | 16-25-0 |
San Antonio Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Houston | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 10/29 | Away | LA Clippers | +9.5 | L by 40 | -30.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | Phoenix | +7.0 | W by 1 | +8.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Phoenix | +10.5 | W by 11 | +21.5 |
| 11/05 | Home | Toronto | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 41 | -32.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | New York | +9.0 | L by 21 | -12.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Miami | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Okla City | +10.0 | L by 36 | -26.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Sacramento | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Memphis | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 11/20 | Home | LA Clippers | +9.0 | L by 25 | -16.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | LA Clippers | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Golden State | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Denver | +10.5 | L by 12 | -1.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | Atlanta | +6.0 | L by 2 | +4.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | New Orleans | +13.0 | L by 15 | -2.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Minnesota | +11.5 | L by 8 | +3.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Chicago | +2.0 | L by 9 | -7.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Houston | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | LA Lakers | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | LA Lakers | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | New Orleans | +7.5 | L by 36 | -28.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Milwaukee | +16.5 | L by 13 | +3.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Chicago | +6.5 | L by 19 | -12.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Dallas | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| 12/26 | Home | Utah | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Portland | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Portland | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Boston | +14.5 | L by 33 | -18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Memphis | +11.0 | L by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Milwaukee | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Cleveland | +10.5 | L by 2 | +8.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Detroit | -3.0 | W by 22 | +19.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Charlotte | -2.5 | W by 36 | +33.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Chicago | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Atlanta | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Boston | +14.5 | L by 19 | -4.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Charlotte | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Washington | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Philadelphia | +13.5 | L by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Okla City | +9.0 | L by 26 | -17.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Portland | -5.0 | W by 16 | +11.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Minnesota | +10.5 | W by 1 | +11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Washington | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Orlando | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | New Orleans | +8.5 | L by 1 | +7.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Cleveland | +10.0 | L by 16 | -6.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Miami | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Orlando | +10.5 | L by 16 | -5.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Brooklyn | +6.0 | L by 20 | -14.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Toronto | +6.0 | W by 23 | +29.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Dallas | +11.0 | L by 23 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Sacramento | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | LA Lakers | +11.0 | L by 5 | +6.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Utah | +7.0 | L by 19 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Minnesota | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Okla City | +11.0 | W by 14 | +25.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Indiana | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Houston | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Sacramento | +12.0 | L by 2 | +10.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Golden State | +12.5 | W by 13 | +25.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/12 | Home | Houston | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 03/15 | Home | Denver | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 03/17 | Home | Brooklyn | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Dallas | +9.0 | L by 6 | +3.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | Memphis | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Phoenix | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 03/25 | Home | Phoenix | +12.0 | W by 2 | +14.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Utah | +4.0 | W by 7 | +11.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | New York | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Golden State | +10.5 | L by 4 | +6.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Denver | +15.5 | L by 5 | +10.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | New Orleans | +11.5 | W by 2 | +13.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | Philadelphia | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | Okla City | +17.0 | L by 38 | -21.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Denver | +11.5 | W by 1 | +12.5 |
| 04/14 | Home | Detroit | -5.0 | W by 28 | +23.0 |
Milwaukee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | Home | Philadelphia | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | L by 17 | -23.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | New York | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Chicago | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Charlotte | -8.0 | W by 31 | +23.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Dallas | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Washington | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Washington | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Chicago | -10.5 | L by 7 | -17.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | New York | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Chicago | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 32 | +15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | San Antonio | -16.5 | W by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New York | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | New York | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 22 | +12.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Cleveland | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | L by 9 | -17.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Houston | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | L by 16 | -24.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Boston | -2.0 | W by 33 | +31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Golden State | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Cleveland | +2.0 | L by 40 | -38.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 6 | -7.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Cleveland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Denver | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Dallas | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Utah | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.0 | W by 36 | +20.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Denver | -1.0 | W by 17 | +16.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Miami | -7.0 | L by 26 | -33.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Memphis | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Philadelphia | -4.5 | W by 21 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | W by 38 | +24.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 35 | -32.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Sacramento | +1.5 | L by 35 | -33.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Okla City | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | LA Lakers | -9.5 | L by 4 | -13.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | Atlanta | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Washington | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | L by 10 | -22.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Toronto | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New York | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Boston | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Orlando | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Okla City | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Orlando | +6.0 | L by 25 | -19.0 |
| 04/21 | Home | Indiana | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 17 | -18.0 |
| MIL -19.0 | Open | -17.5 | High | -19.0 |
| Last | -17.5 | Low | -17.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 10 games where the closing line favored the home team by 18 to 20 points. In these games:
- The team like Milwaukee won the game 10 times (100.0%).
- The team like San Antonio won the game 0 times (0.0%).
- The team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 6-4 (60.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 6.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season there have been 504 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like San Antonio did better against the spread, going 262-231-11 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -19.0 | -19.0 | -- |
| Open | -17.5 | -17.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/22 08:07 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 07:58 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 07:40 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 07:29 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 07:10 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 06:58 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 06:53 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 03/22 05:13 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 04:56 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 02:22 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 01:01 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 12:19 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 11:55 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 11:34 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 11:16 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 11:10 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 10:55 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 10:34 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 10:22 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 10:13 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 09:55 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 09:43 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 09:07 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 08:10 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 07:58 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 07:43 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 06:40 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 05:53 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
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