NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA CHI
Points 113.0 114.2
Total Points   227.2
Points From 2-Pointers 54.2 65.6
Points From 3-Pointers 42.4 33.1
Points From Free Throws 16.3 15.5
Shooting SA CHI
Field Goals Made 41.3 43.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.8 93.3
Field Goal % 47.0% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 32.8
2 Pointers Attempted 48.2 62.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 14.1 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 39.6 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 16.3 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 19.6
Free Throw % 77.6% 79.3%
Ball Control SA CHI
Rebounds 50.2 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 39.0 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 12.1
Turnovers 13.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.7 4.5
Steals 5.8 8.5
Fouls 15.2 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA CHI
Total Possessions 102.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 104.2
% of Possessions with SA CHI
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 53.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.2% 26.2%
Player Fouled 15.9% 14.7%
Turnover 13.5% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA CHI
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 23.7%