NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA MEM
Points 112.7 107.2
Total Points   219.9
Points From 2-Pointers 57.2 54.4
Points From 3-Pointers 39.5 37.3
Points From Free Throws 16.0 15.4
Shooting SA MEM
Field Goals Made 41.8 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 88.2 91.9
Field Goal % 47.4% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 51.6 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.6 35.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 16.0 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 20.2
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.6%
Ball Control SA MEM
Rebounds 53.0 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 41.0 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 12.8
Turnovers 15.2 13.4
Blocked Shots 7.8 5.7
Steals 7.0 9.0
Fouls 15.4 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA MEM
Total Possessions 103.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 102.9
% of Possessions with SA MEM
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 29.9%
Player Fouled 15.8% 14.9%
Turnover 14.7% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA MEM
Shot Blocked 6.3% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 23.8%