NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA CHA
Points 116.8 108.6
Total Points   225.4
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 52.9
Points From 3-Pointers 45.4 41.9
Points From Free Throws 15.9 13.8
Shooting SA CHA
Field Goals Made 42.9 40.4
Field Goals Attempted 90.8 93.0
Field Goal % 47.3% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 48.2 52.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 15.1 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 42.5 40.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 15.9 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 17.6
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.3%
Ball Control SA CHA
Rebounds 51.5 52.7
Rebounds - Defensive 39.0 37.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 15.1
Turnovers 11.2 13.2
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.0
Steals 8.1 6.4
Fouls 14.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA CHA
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 103.5
% of Possessions with SA CHA
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 36.7% 34.3%
Player Fouled 15.1% 14.1%
Turnover 11.0% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA CHA
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 27.9%