NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA CHA
Points 116.5 112.4
Total Points   228.9
Points From 2-Pointers 58.7 46.5
Points From 3-Pointers 39.8 49.1
Points From Free Throws 18.0 16.8
Shooting SA CHA
Field Goals Made 42.6 39.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 91.7
Field Goal % 47.8% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.0 48.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 16.4
3 Pointers Attempted 37.1 43.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 18.0 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 20.3
Free Throw % 77.6% 82.7%
Ball Control SA CHA
Rebounds 50.3 52.1
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 14.5
Turnovers 10.6 12.4
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.4
Steals 6.6 5.8
Fouls 16.9 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA CHA
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 103.7
% of Possessions with SA CHA
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 36.8%
Player Fouled 17.9% 16.6%
Turnover 10.4% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA CHA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 27.1%