NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA SAC
Points 112.6 119.0
Total Points   231.6
Points From 2-Pointers 57.6 64.3
Points From 3-Pointers 38.2 39.5
Points From Free Throws 16.9 15.3
Shooting SA SAC
Field Goals Made 41.5 45.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.1 92.7
Field Goal % 47.1% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.8 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 57.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 35.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 16.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 20.4
Free Throw % 77.7% 74.8%
Ball Control SA SAC
Rebounds 48.4 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.6
Turnovers 14.1 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.1
Steals 6.7 8.3
Fouls 15.5 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA SAC
Total Possessions 104.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.9 104.4
% of Possessions with SA SAC
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 30.2%
Player Fouled 16.6% 14.8%
Turnover 13.4% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA SAC
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 23.3%