NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA ORL
Points 106.3 110.9
Total Points   217.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.5 62.0
Points From 3-Pointers 33.7 31.7
Points From Free Throws 16.2 17.2
Shooting SA ORL
Field Goals Made 39.5 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 84.6 87.9
Field Goal % 46.7% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 31.0
2 Pointers Attempted 52.1 58.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.5 29.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 16.2 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 22.6
Free Throw % 77.6% 75.9%
Ball Control SA ORL
Rebounds 47.1 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 11.8
Turnovers 15.4 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.6
Steals 7.0 9.0
Fouls 17.0 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA ORL
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 96.9 101.0
% of Possessions with SA ORL
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 25.6%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.6%
Turnover 15.0% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA ORL
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 24.1%