NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA DAL
Points 112.1 118.2
Total Points   230.3
Points From 2-Pointers 57.7 62.1
Points From 3-Pointers 38.5 40.5
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.7
Shooting SA DAL
Field Goals Made 41.7 44.5
Field Goals Attempted 90.9 92.1
Field Goal % 45.9% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.8 31.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.7 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 36.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 20.8
Free Throw % 77.6% 75.6%
Ball Control SA DAL
Rebounds 51.3 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 39.4 39.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 10.6
Turnovers 13.6 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.6
Steals 6.4 7.3
Fouls 16.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA DAL
Total Possessions 104.6
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 103.9
% of Possessions with SA DAL
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 31.4%
Player Fouled 15.1% 15.9%
Turnover 13.0% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA DAL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 21.2%