NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA DAL
Points 112.0 118.0
Total Points   230.1
Points From 2-Pointers 57.4 61.8
Points From 3-Pointers 38.9 40.3
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.9
Shooting SA DAL
Field Goals Made 41.6 44.3
Field Goals Attempted 90.8 91.9
Field Goal % 45.9% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 54.7 55.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 36.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 21.1
Free Throw % 77.6% 75.6%
Ball Control SA DAL
Rebounds 51.3 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 39.4 39.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 10.6
Turnovers 13.6 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.7
Steals 6.3 7.3
Fouls 16.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA DAL
Total Possessions 104.5
Effective Scoring Chances 102.8 103.8
% of Possessions with SA DAL
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 31.2%
Player Fouled 15.1% 16.0%
Turnover 13.0% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA DAL
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 21.1%