NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA DAL
Points 111.6 117.7
Total Points   229.3
Points From 2-Pointers 57.2 61.4
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 40.4
Points From Free Throws 15.9 16.0
Shooting SA DAL
Field Goals Made 41.4 44.1
Field Goals Attempted 90.9 91.7
Field Goal % 45.6% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 30.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.8 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 15.9 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 21.2
Free Throw % 77.6% 75.4%
Ball Control SA DAL
Rebounds 51.5 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 10.6
Turnovers 13.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.7
Steals 6.4 7.3
Fouls 16.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA DAL
Total Possessions 104.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.9 103.7
% of Possessions with SA DAL
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 31.2%
Player Fouled 15.2% 16.0%
Turnover 12.9% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA DAL
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 21.2%