NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA BK
Points 111.9 110.9
Total Points   222.8
Points From 2-Pointers 58.3 58.2
Points From 3-Pointers 38.3 37.5
Points From Free Throws 15.4 15.2
Shooting SA BK
Field Goals Made 41.9 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.7 92.2
Field Goal % 46.7% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 57.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.7 34.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 15.4 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 20.0
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.0%
Ball Control SA BK
Rebounds 51.6 50.8
Rebounds - Defensive 40.0 38.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 12.6
Turnovers 12.9 11.7
Blocked Shots 6.0 4.6
Steals 5.9 7.3
Fouls 15.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA BK
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 103.4
% of Possessions with SA BK
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 29.6%
Player Fouled 15.5% 14.6%
Turnover 12.5% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA BK
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 24.0%