NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA IND
Points 116.8 123.2
Total Points   239.9
Points From 2-Pointers 67.2 72.1
Points From 3-Pointers 30.8 36.0
Points From Free Throws 18.8 15.1
Shooting SA IND
Field Goals Made 43.9 48.0
Field Goals Attempted 90.2 95.1
Field Goal % 48.6% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 33.6 36.0
2 Pointers Attempted 60.6 62.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 32.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 18.8 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 19.5
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.6%
Ball Control SA IND
Rebounds 50.0 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 11.1
Turnovers 13.7 11.2
Blocked Shots 6.2 5.5
Steals 5.6 8.0
Fouls 15.2 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA IND
Total Possessions 105.8
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 105.7
% of Possessions with SA IND
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 27.2%
Player Fouled 17.2% 14.4%
Turnover 13.0% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA IND
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 22.7%