NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA NO
Points 109.5 115.4
Total Points   224.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.4 63.8
Points From 3-Pointers 40.1 35.2
Points From Free Throws 15.0 16.4
Shooting SA NO
Field Goals Made 40.5 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 90.6
Field Goal % 46.3% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 31.9
2 Pointers Attempted 48.4 59.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 39.2 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 15.0 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 21.2
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.4%
Ball Control SA NO
Rebounds 48.5 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 11.3
Turnovers 14.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 6.1 4.1
Steals 5.7 8.9
Fouls 15.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA NO
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 99.2 102.4
% of Possessions with SA NO
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 26.8%
Player Fouled 15.5% 14.7%
Turnover 13.9% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA NO
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 23.1%