NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA TOR
Points 119.3 112.9
Total Points   232.2
Points From 2-Pointers 64.3 64.8
Points From 3-Pointers 40.2 32.6
Points From Free Throws 14.8 15.5
Shooting SA TOR
Field Goals Made 45.6 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.9 93.3
Field Goal % 49.6% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 32.2 32.4
2 Pointers Attempted 54.6 61.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.9% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 37.3 31.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 14.8 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 20.3
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.6%
Ball Control SA TOR
Rebounds 52.6 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 39.9 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 11.9
Turnovers 14.0 12.5
Blocked Shots 7.4 4.2
Steals 6.3 8.4
Fouls 14.8 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA TOR
Total Possessions 104.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 104.2
% of Possessions with SA TOR
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 26.4%
Player Fouled 15.2% 14.1%
Turnover 13.4% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA TOR
Shot Blocked 4.6% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 22.9%