NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA PHO
Points 110.2 117.7
Total Points   227.9
Points From 2-Pointers 56.2 64.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 35.2
Points From Free Throws 15.5 17.8
Shooting SA PHO
Field Goals Made 40.9 44.1
Field Goals Attempted 92.6 88.6
Field Goal % 44.2% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 32.3
2 Pointers Attempted 55.3 58.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 37.3 30.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 15.5 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 22.4
Free Throw % 77.7% 79.6%
Ball Control SA PHO
Rebounds 47.7 52.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 41.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 11.2
Turnovers 12.3 13.7
Blocked Shots 5.7 5.3
Steals 7.6 7.6
Fouls 16.2 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA PHO
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 101.4
% of Possessions with SA PHO
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 25.9%
Player Fouled 14.8% 15.6%
Turnover 11.8% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA PHO
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 24.1%