NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO PHI
Points 113.7 110.4
Total Points   224.1
Points From 2-Pointers 58.3 54.6
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 37.5
Points From Free Throws 20.5 18.4
Shooting PHO PHI
Field Goals Made 40.8 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 83.4 91.4
Field Goal % 48.9% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 27.3
2 Pointers Attempted 52.2 56.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 34.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 20.5 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 22.5
Free Throw % 80.7% 81.7%
Ball Control PHO PHI
Rebounds 51.9 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 39.9 32.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 13.2
Turnovers 14.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 6.5 5.6
Steals 5.6 8.3
Fouls 15.7 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO PHI
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 98.3 103.8
% of Possessions with PHO PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 29.8%
Player Fouled 19.0% 15.6%
Turnover 14.3% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO PHI
Shot Blocked 6.3% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 24.8%