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Phoenix at Milwaukee
Mon Apr 19, 2021
8:00pm ET
Milwaukee, WI
Phoenix at Milwaukee: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Milwaukee by 3, Total Points: 232
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | MIL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-46-2 | 36-46-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-10-0 | 6-12-0 | |
| vs Conference | 23-30-0 | 26-26-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 16-24-1 | 20-21-1 | |
| Away | 19-22-1 | 16-25-0 |
Phoenix Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 10/26 | Away | LA Lakers | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Utah | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | San Antonio | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 11/05 | Away | Detroit | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | LA Lakers | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Okla City | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Minnesota | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Utah | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Utah | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Portland | -12.0 | W by 13 | +1.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Golden State | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Memphis | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | New York | +6.5 | W by 3 | +9.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Denver | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Memphis | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | LA Lakers | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Golden State | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | New York | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Washington | -13.0 | W by 4 | -9.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Portland | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Sacramento | +4.0 | L by 15 | -11.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Dallas | -4.0 | L by 14 | -18.0 |
| 12/27 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 16 | +13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charlotte | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Portland | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | LA Clippers | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami | -2.5 | W by 16 | +13.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Memphis | -8.0 | L by 6 | -14.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 27 | -22.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Portland | -14.0 | W by 11 | -3.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | New Orleans | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Indiana | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Orlando | -1.5 | L by 15 | -16.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Miami | +2.0 | W by 13 | +15.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Atlanta | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Washington | -11.0 | W by 28 | +17.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Milwaukee | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Utah | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Golden State | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Sacramento | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 16 | +2.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Dallas | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Houston | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | LA Lakers | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | Houston | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Denver | +8.5 | W by 10 | +18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Toronto | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Cleveland | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Away | Boston | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Charlotte | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Philadelphia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Atlanta | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | San Antonio | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/25 | Away | San Antonio | -12.0 | L by 2 | -14.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 25 | -27.0 |
| 04/01 | Away | New Orleans | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Cleveland | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | LA Clippers | -9.5 | L by 13 | -22.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Sacramento | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 04/20 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
Milwaukee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | Home | Philadelphia | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | L by 17 | -23.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | New York | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Chicago | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Charlotte | -8.0 | W by 31 | +23.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Dallas | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Washington | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Washington | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Chicago | -10.5 | L by 7 | -17.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | New York | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Chicago | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 32 | +15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | San Antonio | -16.5 | W by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New York | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | New York | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 22 | +12.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Cleveland | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | L by 9 | -17.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Houston | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | L by 16 | -24.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Boston | -2.0 | W by 33 | +31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Golden State | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Cleveland | +2.0 | L by 40 | -38.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 6 | -7.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Cleveland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Denver | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Dallas | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Utah | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.0 | W by 36 | +20.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Denver | -1.0 | W by 17 | +16.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Miami | -7.0 | L by 26 | -33.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Memphis | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Philadelphia | -4.5 | W by 21 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | W by 38 | +24.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 35 | -32.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Sacramento | +1.5 | L by 35 | -33.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Okla City | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | LA Lakers | -9.5 | L by 4 | -13.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | Atlanta | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Washington | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | L by 10 | -22.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Toronto | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New York | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Boston | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Orlando | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Okla City | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Orlando | +6.0 | L by 25 | -19.0 |
| 04/21 | Home | Indiana | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| MIL -3.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 1054 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Milwaukee won the game 574 times (54.5%).
- The team like Phoenix won the game 480 times (45.5%).
- The team like Phoenix did better against the spread, going 527-515-12 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 409 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Phoenix did better against the spread, going 210-191-8 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| History | |||
| 04/19 08:02 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 07:53 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 07:02 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 04/19 06:47 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 06:38 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 06:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 05:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 04/19 05:29 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 04:50 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 04:38 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 04:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 03:58 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 02:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 02:14 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 01:47 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 01:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 01:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 12:59 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 12:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 10:59 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 10:02 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 04/19 09:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 04/19 09:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 04/19 09:41 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 09:38 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 09:09 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 08:50 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 08:23 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/19 07:59 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/18 11:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 04/18 05:37 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/18 04:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 04/18 04:31 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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