NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO CHI
Points 116.1 111.2
Total Points   227.3
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 57.4
Points From 3-Pointers 41.0 36.9
Points From Free Throws 19.1 16.9
Shooting PHO CHI
Field Goals Made 41.7 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 84.4 92.2
Field Goal % 49.4% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 48.1 57.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 34.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 19.1 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 21.1
Free Throw % 79.6% 80.1%
Ball Control PHO CHI
Rebounds 51.6 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 40.1 33.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 12.7
Turnovers 13.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.4
Steals 5.8 7.9
Fouls 16.3 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO CHI
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 98.7 104.0
% of Possessions with PHO CHI
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 29.9%
Player Fouled 17.7% 16.1%
Turnover 13.8% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO CHI
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 24.1%