NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO BOS
Points 109.9 117.1
Total Points   227.0
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 51.6
Points From 3-Pointers 39.1 50.2
Points From Free Throws 14.7 15.3
Shooting PHO BOS
Field Goals Made 41.1 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 91.8
Field Goal % 45.6% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.2 48.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 16.7
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 43.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 14.7 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 19.3
Free Throw % 80.7% 79.1%
Ball Control PHO BOS
Rebounds 50.7 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.5 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 12.6
Turnovers 12.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.6
Steals 5.5 7.1
Fouls 14.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO BOS
Total Possessions 100.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 103.1
% of Possessions with PHO BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 37.8%
Player Fouled 14.9% 14.6%
Turnover 12.1% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO BOS
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 24.7%