NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO BOS
Points 110.4 117.4
Total Points   227.8
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 51.8
Points From 3-Pointers 38.9 50.5
Points From Free Throws 14.8 15.1
Shooting PHO BOS
Field Goals Made 41.3 42.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.8 92.3
Field Goal % 45.5% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 25.9
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 48.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 16.8
3 Pointers Attempted 35.0 43.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 14.8 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 19.0
Free Throw % 80.7% 79.1%
Ball Control PHO BOS
Rebounds 51.3 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.7 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 12.6
Turnovers 12.0 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.7
Steals 5.4 7.0
Fouls 14.6 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO BOS
Total Possessions 100.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 103.3
% of Possessions with PHO BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 38.0%
Player Fouled 14.8% 14.5%
Turnover 12.0% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO BOS
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 24.6%