NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO BOS
Points 109.9 117.4
Total Points   227.3
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 51.6
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 50.5
Points From Free Throws 14.7 15.2
Shooting PHO BOS
Field Goals Made 41.2 42.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 92.0
Field Goal % 45.6% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.5 48.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 16.8
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 43.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 14.7 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 19.2
Free Throw % 80.7% 79.2%
Ball Control PHO BOS
Rebounds 50.8 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 12.7
Turnovers 12.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.5
Steals 5.4 7.1
Fouls 14.6 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO BOS
Total Possessions 100.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 103.2
% of Possessions with PHO BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 38.0%
Player Fouled 14.9% 14.5%
Turnover 12.1% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO BOS
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 24.9%