NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO LAC
Points 114.7 113.3
Total Points   228.1
Points From 2-Pointers 58.6 56.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.0 38.7
Points From Free Throws 18.1 17.9
Shooting PHO LAC
Field Goals Made 42.0 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 86.4 88.9
Field Goal % 48.6% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 53.0 54.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 34.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 18.1 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 21.5
Free Throw % 80.7% 83.5%
Ball Control PHO LAC
Rebounds 49.2 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.8
Turnovers 12.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.3
Steals 6.6 7.7
Fouls 16.1 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO LAC
Total Possessions 100.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.8 101.1
% of Possessions with PHO LAC
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 30.0%
Player Fouled 17.1% 16.0%
Turnover 12.7% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO LAC
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 24.2%