NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO LAC
Points 113.9 112.9
Total Points   226.7
Points From 2-Pointers 58.0 56.4
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 38.4
Points From Free Throws 18.4 18.1
Shooting PHO LAC
Field Goals Made 41.5 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 88.7
Field Goal % 48.5% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.7 54.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 32.9 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 18.4 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 21.6
Free Throw % 80.7% 83.5%
Ball Control PHO LAC
Rebounds 48.9 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 12.0
Turnovers 12.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.1
Steals 6.6 7.8
Fouls 16.1 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO LAC
Total Possessions 100.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 101.0
% of Possessions with PHO LAC
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 29.9%
Player Fouled 17.3% 16.1%
Turnover 12.8% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO LAC
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 24.4%