NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO ATL
Points 123.6 114.7
Total Points   238.3
Points From 2-Pointers 63.7 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 40.8 41.9
Points From Free Throws 19.1 17.7
Shooting PHO ATL
Field Goals Made 45.4 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 86.0 93.6
Field Goal % 52.8% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 31.8 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 55.3
2 Point Shooting % 60.6% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.6 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 38.3
3 Point Shooting % 40.7% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 19.1 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 22.6
Free Throw % 80.7% 78.3%
Ball Control PHO ATL
Rebounds 50.5 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.7 32.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 14.4
Turnovers 14.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 6.0 3.9
Steals 6.8 7.5
Fouls 16.5 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO ATL
Total Possessions 103.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 106.5
% of Possessions with PHO ATL
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 31.9%
Player Fouled 17.2% 15.9%
Turnover 13.5% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO ATL
Shot Blocked 4.3% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 26.6%