NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO UTA
Points 123.9 113.5
Total Points   237.4
Points From 2-Pointers 61.9 55.6
Points From 3-Pointers 43.4 39.3
Points From Free Throws 18.7 18.5
Shooting PHO UTA
Field Goals Made 45.4 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 91.6
Field Goal % 51.1% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.9 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 54.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.5 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 35.0 37.2
3 Point Shooting % 41.3% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 18.7 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 22.1
Free Throw % 80.7% 83.7%
Ball Control PHO UTA
Rebounds 49.2 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 33.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 14.3
Turnovers 12.1 12.9
Blocked Shots 7.2 4.8
Steals 7.5 6.5
Fouls 16.2 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO UTA
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.3 104.0
% of Possessions with PHO UTA
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 31.1%
Player Fouled 16.7% 15.8%
Turnover 11.8% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO UTA
Shot Blocked 5.4% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 27.7%