NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO SAC
Points 114.3 113.7
Total Points   228.0
Points From 2-Pointers 57.0 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 37.3 43.1
Points From Free Throws 19.9 15.3
Shooting PHO SAC
Field Goals Made 40.9 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 82.8 92.3
Field Goal % 49.5% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 51.6 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 14.4
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 39.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 19.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 20.5
Free Throw % 80.7% 74.6%
Ball Control PHO SAC
Rebounds 49.3 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 13.2
Turnovers 14.2 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.8
Steals 6.5 8.1
Fouls 15.9 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO SAC
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 97.6 104.3
% of Possessions with PHO SAC
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 33.8%
Player Fouled 18.6% 15.6%
Turnover 13.9% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO SAC
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 25.1%