NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO NY
Points 113.1 111.2
Total Points   224.3
Points From 2-Pointers 58.9 53.9
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 40.7
Points From Free Throws 17.5 16.6
Shooting PHO NY
Field Goals Made 41.7 40.5
Field Goals Attempted 83.9 91.1
Field Goal % 49.7% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 51.7 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 36.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 17.5 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 21.3
Free Throw % 80.7% 77.9%
Ball Control PHO NY
Rebounds 48.5 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 15.4
Turnovers 13.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.5 3.9
Steals 6.0 7.8
Fouls 16.1 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO NY
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 97.0 103.5
% of Possessions with PHO NY
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 31.6%
Player Fouled 16.9% 16.2%
Turnover 13.6% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO NY
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 29.3%