NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO BK
Points 114.7 109.1
Total Points   223.9
Points From 2-Pointers 60.0 51.6
Points From 3-Pointers 36.1 41.6
Points From Free Throws 18.7 15.9
Shooting PHO BK
Field Goals Made 42.0 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 85.2 91.8
Field Goal % 49.3% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 30.0 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 52.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 39.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 18.7 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 20.8
Free Throw % 79.6% 76.5%
Ball Control PHO BK
Rebounds 52.2 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 40.9 34.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 13.5
Turnovers 13.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.5
Steals 5.8 7.3
Fouls 15.7 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO BK
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 103.8
% of Possessions with PHO BK
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 33.7%
Player Fouled 17.5% 15.5%
Turnover 13.2% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO BK
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 24.8%