NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO SA
Points 117.7 110.3
Total Points   228.0
Points From 2-Pointers 64.6 56.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 38.6
Points From Free Throws 17.8 15.5
Shooting PHO SA
Field Goals Made 44.1 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 92.6
Field Goal % 49.8% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 32.3 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 58.2 55.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 30.4 37.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 17.8 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 19.9
Free Throw % 79.6% 77.7%
Ball Control PHO SA
Rebounds 52.3 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 41.1 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 12.5
Turnovers 13.8 12.3
Blocked Shots 5.3 5.7
Steals 7.5 7.7
Fouls 15.4 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO SA
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 104.1
% of Possessions with PHO SA
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 31.5%
Player Fouled 15.6% 14.8%
Turnover 13.2% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO SA
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 23.3%