NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO MIN
Points 107.0 110.8
Total Points   217.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.1 54.5
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 38.7
Points From Free Throws 19.5 17.7
Shooting PHO MIN
Field Goals Made 38.2 40.1
Field Goals Attempted 83.0 86.6
Field Goal % 46.0% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.0 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 53.4 52.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 19.5 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 22.8
Free Throw % 80.7% 77.6%
Ball Control PHO MIN
Rebounds 48.7 47.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 11.4
Turnovers 14.5 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.1
Steals 6.9 8.2
Fouls 17.6 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO MIN
Total Possessions 100.6
Effective Scoring Chances 97.3 99.9
% of Possessions with PHO MIN
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 29.7%
Player Fouled 17.8% 17.5%
Turnover 14.4% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO MIN
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 23.3%