NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO GS
Points 116.0 115.1
Total Points   231.2
Points From 2-Pointers 57.9 55.5
Points From 3-Pointers 39.4 44.5
Points From Free Throws 18.7 15.1
Shooting PHO GS
Field Goals Made 42.1 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 93.2
Field Goal % 48.3% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 53.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 39.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 18.7 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 19.4
Free Throw % 80.7% 77.7%
Ball Control PHO GS
Rebounds 49.9 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 14.3
Turnovers 12.9 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.2
Steals 6.8 7.1
Fouls 15.1 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO GS
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 104.6
% of Possessions with PHO GS
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 33.2%
Player Fouled 17.5% 14.8%
Turnover 12.7% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO GS
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 27.3%