NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC MIL
Points 120.4 117.3
Total Points   237.8
Points From 2-Pointers 62.9 51.2
Points From 3-Pointers 39.5 45.8
Points From Free Throws 18.1 20.4
Shooting OKC MIL
Field Goals Made 44.6 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 91.4 87.4
Field Goal % 48.8% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 31.4 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 57.0 47.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 15.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 39.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 18.1 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 26.2
Free Throw % 82.8% 77.5%
Ball Control OKC MIL
Rebounds 47.6 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 38.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 11.4
Turnovers 10.2 13.2
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.4
Steals 6.9 5.8
Fouls 17.9 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC MIL
Total Possessions 104.3
Effective Scoring Chances 103.7 102.6
% of Possessions with OKC MIL
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 33.7%
Player Fouled 17.5% 17.2%
Turnover 9.8% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC MIL
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 23.2%