NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC CHI
Points 120.5 110.4
Total Points   230.9
Points From 2-Pointers 57.9 56.0
Points From 3-Pointers 44.0 36.6
Points From Free Throws 18.6 17.8
Shooting OKC CHI
Field Goals Made 43.6 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 86.7 90.3
Field Goal % 50.3% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 49.4 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 58.7% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 37.4 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 18.6 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 22.4
Free Throw % 82.2% 79.2%
Ball Control OKC CHI
Rebounds 47.7 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 13.7
Turnovers 11.9 12.5
Blocked Shots 6.0 4.8
Steals 6.8 6.9
Fouls 16.5 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC CHI
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 99.6 103.3
% of Possessions with OKC CHI
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 28.9%
Player Fouled 17.4% 16.2%
Turnover 11.7% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC CHI
Shot Blocked 5.4% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 26.3%