NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC CLE
Points 117.2 110.1
Total Points   227.3
Points From 2-Pointers 60.6 49.8
Points From 3-Pointers 39.4 43.3
Points From Free Throws 17.2 17.0
Shooting OKC CLE
Field Goals Made 43.4 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.4 87.0
Field Goal % 49.7% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 24.9
2 Pointers Attempted 54.4 48.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 14.4
3 Pointers Attempted 32.9 38.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 17.2 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 22.4
Free Throw % 82.2% 76.1%
Ball Control OKC CLE
Rebounds 47.2 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 12.1
Turnovers 11.8 14.1
Blocked Shots 6.4 4.2
Steals 7.9 6.6
Fouls 17.0 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC CLE
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 99.4 99.8
% of Possessions with OKC CLE
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 33.4%
Player Fouled 15.8% 16.7%
Turnover 11.6% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC CLE
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 24.2%