NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC LAC
Points 118.0 112.5
Total Points   230.4
Points From 2-Pointers 60.6 53.1
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 39.6
Points From Free Throws 17.7 19.7
Shooting OKC LAC
Field Goals Made 43.5 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 86.8
Field Goal % 49.1% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 54.4 51.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 17.7 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 23.6
Free Throw % 82.2% 83.5%
Ball Control OKC LAC
Rebounds 46.3 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.6
Turnovers 11.0 13.6
Blocked Shots 6.1 4.7
Steals 7.4 6.6
Fouls 16.7 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC LAC
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.9 100.5
% of Possessions with OKC LAC
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 30.0%
Player Fouled 16.9% 16.4%
Turnover 10.8% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC LAC
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 25.9%