NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC LAC
Points 119.4 114.9
Total Points   234.3
Points From 2-Pointers 61.0 53.5
Points From 3-Pointers 41.2 41.3
Points From Free Throws 17.1 20.1
Shooting OKC LAC
Field Goals Made 44.2 40.5
Field Goals Attempted 89.5 86.2
Field Goal % 49.4% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 26.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.9 51.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 35.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 17.1 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 24.3
Free Throw % 82.8% 82.9%
Ball Control OKC LAC
Rebounds 45.8 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.2 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 12.1
Turnovers 10.9 13.5
Blocked Shots 5.9 4.8
Steals 7.1 6.6
Fouls 17.4 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC LAC
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 100.2
% of Possessions with OKC LAC
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 30.2%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.2%
Turnover 10.8% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC LAC
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 25.6%