NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC MEM
Points 120.3 104.4
Total Points   224.7
Points From 2-Pointers 61.0 43.7
Points From 3-Pointers 41.2 42.6
Points From Free Throws 18.1 18.2
Shooting OKC MEM
Field Goals Made 44.2 36.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 87.2
Field Goal % 50.0% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 47.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 40.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 18.1 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 24.0
Free Throw % 82.8% 75.8%
Ball Control OKC MEM
Rebounds 50.2 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 40.0 35.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 13.4
Turnovers 12.8 15.8
Blocked Shots 8.1 6.0
Steals 8.2 7.0
Fouls 17.6 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Okla City

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC MEM
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 100.8
% of Possessions with OKC MEM
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 33.4%
Player Fouled 17.3% 17.0%
Turnover 12.4% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC MEM
Shot Blocked 7.0% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 25.2%