NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC MEM
Points 120.2 103.7
Total Points   223.9
Points From 2-Pointers 60.7 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 41.1 41.4
Points From Free Throws 18.3 17.8
Shooting OKC MEM
Field Goals Made 44.1 36.1
Field Goals Attempted 87.4 88.5
Field Goal % 50.4% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.4 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 52.8 49.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 39.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 18.3 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 23.2
Free Throw % 82.1% 76.6%
Ball Control OKC MEM
Rebounds 50.1 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 40.0 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 14.5
Turnovers 13.1 15.6
Blocked Shots 8.3 6.0
Steals 8.3 7.4
Fouls 16.8 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC MEM
Total Possessions 102.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 101.7
% of Possessions with OKC MEM
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 32.8%
Player Fouled 17.2% 16.3%
Turnover 12.8% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC MEM
Shot Blocked 7.0% 9.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 26.6%