NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC UTA
Points 127.5 112.8
Total Points   240.3
Points From 2-Pointers 64.3 51.8
Points From 3-Pointers 45.3 40.5
Points From Free Throws 18.0 20.5
Shooting OKC UTA
Field Goals Made 47.2 39.4
Field Goals Attempted 91.5 89.3
Field Goal % 51.6% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 32.1 25.9
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.0% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 15.1 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 36.2 38.0
3 Point Shooting % 41.8% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 18.0 20.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 24.5
Free Throw % 82.1% 83.7%
Ball Control OKC UTA
Rebounds 46.1 50.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 15.2
Turnovers 10.5 15.7
Blocked Shots 8.4 5.3
Steals 8.5 5.6
Fouls 16.8 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC UTA
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.7 103.4
% of Possessions with OKC UTA
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 31.0%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.1%
Turnover 10.1% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC UTA
Shot Blocked 6.1% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 29.8%