NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC SAC
Points 118.9 113.2
Total Points   232.1
Points From 2-Pointers 60.0 52.0
Points From 3-Pointers 39.7 44.5
Points From Free Throws 19.2 16.7
Shooting OKC SAC
Field Goals Made 43.2 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 90.5
Field Goal % 50.2% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.0 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 50.0
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 32.6 40.6
3 Point Shooting % 40.6% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 19.2 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 22.4
Free Throw % 82.2% 74.6%
Ball Control OKC SAC
Rebounds 47.0 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 13.9
Turnovers 12.1 13.3
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.3
Steals 7.3 6.9
Fouls 16.4 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC SAC
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.6 103.8
% of Possessions with OKC SAC
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 34.0%
Player Fouled 18.2% 15.9%
Turnover 11.8% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC SAC
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.0% 26.6%