NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC SAC
Points 121.4 115.0
Total Points   236.4
Points From 2-Pointers 61.1 54.0
Points From 3-Pointers 41.2 43.8
Points From Free Throws 19.1 17.3
Shooting OKC SAC
Field Goals Made 44.3 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.8 90.3
Field Goal % 50.5% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 30.6 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.4 50.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 14.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.3 39.8
3 Point Shooting % 41.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 19.1 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 23.1
Free Throw % 82.8% 74.8%
Ball Control OKC SAC
Rebounds 46.8 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 13.4
Turnovers 12.0 13.7
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.3
Steals 7.4 6.7
Fouls 17.1 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC SAC
Total Possessions 104.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 104.0
% of Possessions with OKC SAC
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 33.2%
Player Fouled 18.1% 16.4%
Turnover 11.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC SAC
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 26.0%