NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC DAL
Points 119.0 114.1
Total Points   233.1
Points From 2-Pointers 60.6 51.1
Points From 3-Pointers 40.3 44.8
Points From Free Throws 18.0 18.3
Shooting OKC DAL
Field Goals Made 43.7 40.5
Field Goals Attempted 89.8 88.8
Field Goal % 48.7% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 48.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 14.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 40.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 18.0 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 24.2
Free Throw % 82.1% 75.6%
Ball Control OKC DAL
Rebounds 49.3 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 39.2 37.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 12.1
Turnovers 11.7 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.0
Steals 7.5 6.0
Fouls 18.2 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC DAL
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.3 102.9
% of Possessions with OKC DAL
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 34.5%
Player Fouled 16.4% 17.6%
Turnover 11.3% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC DAL
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 23.5%