NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC DAL
Points 103.2 116.0
Total Points   219.2
Points From 2-Pointers 50.0 56.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.0 43.9
Points From Free Throws 16.2 15.2
Shooting OKC DAL
Field Goals Made 37.3 43.1
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 89.9
Field Goal % 42.8% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 25.0 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 51.0 48.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 14.6
3 Pointers Attempted 36.2 41.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 16.2 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 19.8
Free Throw % 72.8% 76.8%
Ball Control OKC DAL
Rebounds 50.7 51.4
Rebounds - Defensive 39.0 41.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 10.3
Turnovers 13.5 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.8
Steals 6.2 6.8
Fouls 17.5 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Okla City

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC DAL
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 101.6
% of Possessions with OKC DAL
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 36.1%
Player Fouled 16.4% 17.2%
Turnover 13.2% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC DAL
Shot Blocked 5.4% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 20.8%